- Thread Author
- #1
- Joined
- Sep 25, 2023
- Messages
- 39,265
- Reaction score
- 3,158
- Trophy Points
- 180
- Location
- Philippines
- D Bucks
- 💵8.041400
- Referral Credit
- 100
According to the report, though the US can attack Iran at any moment, there's currently a long waiting period. It could stretch on for weeks. This strategy is familiar to the United States. In July 1990, Saddam Hussein's army invaded Kuwait. President George H.W. Bush promised to expel the Iraqis, but the war only began in January 1991, six months after the conflict began. This suggests the US is acting patiently. The opportunity to strike was missed during the mass protests in Iran two weeks ago. Now, there's no longer any need for haste. The planned attack will be multidimensional, including massive strikes and cyber operations. Electronic warfare will also be used to disrupt military communications. The US intends to use the remaining time for two additional actions: tightening economic sanctions against Iran and identifying rifts among the elite to lure some forces to overthrow the regime.
The report stated that the fate of the regime is still unknown, but the United States is striving to portray itself as the leader in the fight against this threat. Despite the regime's effectiveness in suppressing protests, its capabilities are limited. The Iranian revolution has long since lost its former fervor and persuasiveness. The economic situation is not improving.
Moreover, the rift between radicals and moderates within the elite is becoming increasingly visible. The president understands that economic reforms are essential for stability: controlling inflation, lowering food prices, and ensuring stable supplies of water and electricity. This will require cutting military spending and aid to proxies like Hezbollah. This will increase tensions within the government, which could worsen after Khomeini's death and the start of a struggle for succession. Even a small shift by some of the elite to the opposition could reignite protests. This process could take weeks or months, possibly continuing until 2026 or beyond.
The report stated that the fate of the regime is still unknown, but the United States is striving to portray itself as the leader in the fight against this threat. Despite the regime's effectiveness in suppressing protests, its capabilities are limited. The Iranian revolution has long since lost its former fervor and persuasiveness. The economic situation is not improving.
Moreover, the rift between radicals and moderates within the elite is becoming increasingly visible. The president understands that economic reforms are essential for stability: controlling inflation, lowering food prices, and ensuring stable supplies of water and electricity. This will require cutting military spending and aid to proxies like Hezbollah. This will increase tensions within the government, which could worsen after Khomeini's death and the start of a struggle for succession. Even a small shift by some of the elite to the opposition could reignite protests. This process could take weeks or months, possibly continuing until 2026 or beyond.