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Current state of Argentina’s economy

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Argentina’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 32. 4% I January 2026, its highest since August 2025, driven partly by seasonal food price increases. Core inflation also exceeded expectations, indicating widespread indexation as businesses raise prices in anticipation of further hikes.

The economy grew 4.5 % in 2025 and is projected to expand by 3.0 % in 2026, according to BBVA Research, following the midterm Elections that bolstered support for the government’s economic plan. While real GDP rose slightly in Q3 2025, private consumption saw a nominal decline, and the construction sector posted at 4.1% monthly drop in November 2025.

The unemployment rate fell to 6.6 % in Q3 2025 from 7. 6% in the previous quarter, though nearly 281, 000 registered jobs were lost between November 2023 and September 2025. The central bank is normalizing monetary policy introduced inflation –adjusted exchange rate bands, through the current rate leaves a narrow buffer relative to the upper limit.

Argentina returned to international capital markets in 2025 with a USD-denominated bond issue, and sovereign risk stands at around 600 basis points. The government is advancing labor and fiscal reforms while aiming to roll over debt maturities through liability management portions
 
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