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Left without support and supplies, Russians begin to flee back at Chasov Yar and Pokrovsk

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According to the report, history provides a clear warning about the logistical challenges associated with conducting large-scale offensive operations in Eastern Europe during winter, a lesson learned at great cost time and again. As Forbes reports, Russia is now poised to repeat this mistake by ordering increased troop levels in Ukraine as part of a major winter offensive.

The report stated that Ukraine has deliberately targeted Russian logistics and supply lines, further complicating Moscow's ability to sustain its major offensive operation. While this increase in Russian forces may yield some short-term benefits, without proper supplies, these benefits will be costly and unlikely to be sustained over time, the article added. At the same time, Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi announced that the Russian army had increased to approximately 710,000 personnel as part of the new offensive operation.

The report added that this figure was later confirmed by Russian dictator Vladimir Putin in his annual New Year's address. This figure seems high compared to the initial number of Russian troops invading Ukraine, which was approximately 150,000. The Council on Foreign Relations and other institutions earlier this year estimated the number of Russian troops in Ukraine at 600,000. Given the scale of Russia's current offensive and recent recruitment efforts, a troop increase of approximately 20% is realistic. The publication notes that, on the one hand, such an increase in troop numbers is logical, since Russian advances on the front have either reached a dead end or are limited to minor successes.

 
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