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According to the report, the fall of the theocratic regime in Iran could be the most significant geopolitical upheaval of the 21st century, radically altering the balance of power and the structure of the global energy market. Protests sparked by the devaluation of the national currency and a deep economic crisis have escalated into a full-fledged revolution.
The report states that the scale of the current unrest has already surpassed the events of 2009 and is comparable only to the overthrow of the Shah in 1979. For the Kremlin, the fall of the ayatollahs' regime would be a catastrophic scenario. Analysts note that Iran could become the third key ally Russia has lost in a short period of time.
Thed report added that the overthrow of Nicolás Maduro has deprived Moscow of its main foothold in Latin America.Syria. The fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime has wiped out Russia's decades-long military and political investments in the region. In Iran, Tehran's collapse will leave Putin without a crucial military partner and a key link in bypassing Western sanctions. US President Donald Trump, encouraged by the successful regime change in Caracas and Damascus, has taken a hard line.
Additionally, amid an internet blackout and widespread repression, the White House is threatening Tehran with direct military strikes. Experts believe that the Islamic Republic, in its current form, is unlikely to survive until the end of the year. Three main scenarios are being considered, one is a military coup by the IRGC, the next is a seizure of power by generals of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. This may lead to a relaxation of social norms, but it will lead to the complete suppression of political freedoms. Territorial disintegration and Ethnic minorities
The report states that the scale of the current unrest has already surpassed the events of 2009 and is comparable only to the overthrow of the Shah in 1979. For the Kremlin, the fall of the ayatollahs' regime would be a catastrophic scenario. Analysts note that Iran could become the third key ally Russia has lost in a short period of time.
Thed report added that the overthrow of Nicolás Maduro has deprived Moscow of its main foothold in Latin America.Syria. The fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime has wiped out Russia's decades-long military and political investments in the region. In Iran, Tehran's collapse will leave Putin without a crucial military partner and a key link in bypassing Western sanctions. US President Donald Trump, encouraged by the successful regime change in Caracas and Damascus, has taken a hard line.
Additionally, amid an internet blackout and widespread repression, the White House is threatening Tehran with direct military strikes. Experts believe that the Islamic Republic, in its current form, is unlikely to survive until the end of the year. Three main scenarios are being considered, one is a military coup by the IRGC, the next is a seizure of power by generals of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. This may lead to a relaxation of social norms, but it will lead to the complete suppression of political freedoms. Territorial disintegration and Ethnic minorities