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According to the report, Russian President Vladimir Putin sends his army on a "death march" in Ukraine. The main goal is to capture as much territory as possible before peace talks. For this reason, the generals are preparing to sacrifice even more Russian soldiers. But in the end, this could also lead to serious protests in Russian society. So, Russia has dramatically stepped up military action on the Ukrainian front, advancing at its fastest pace this year and launching record-breaking missile and drone strikes. The Kremlin appears to have already launched a summer offensive , although it has not officially acknowledged it, The New York Times reports .Military analysts confirm that Moscow has launched a large-scale offensive campaign - despite the fact that the first direct peace talks with Ukraine since 2022 have resumed in parallel. The attack on Sumy region has opened a new northern front, and in the east, in the Donbas region, Russia is slowly but surely advancing, despite heavy losses on both sides.
The report also stated that Russia has used the winter lull to stockpile equipment, update tactics and ramp up drone production, analysts say. Just last week, the Russians attacked Ukrainian cities with hundreds of drones and missiles, the largest combined strike since the full-scale invasion began. Some of the munitions penetrated Ukrainian air defenses, damaging industrial and civilian targets. Although the Kremlin has not directly announced the start of a new phase of the offensive, Vladimir Putin has spoken of creating a "buffer zone" to protect Russia from Ukrainian shelling. He has also hinted again that the war will continue until "the root causes of the conflict are eliminated" - that is, until Ukraine capitulates on Moscow's terms. Against this backdrop, the resumption of peace talks, particularly in Istanbul, looks contradictory. RAND analysts and a number of European experts say that the Kremlin is using the offensive not only as a tool of pressure, but also to gain an advantage until a potential pause in hostilities. At the same time, Kyiv and the EU are convinced that Putin is not interested in a diplomatic settlement, but is striving for victory in the war.
The report added that the invasion of Sumy region, according to analysts, has already attracted thousands of Ukrainian troops, limiting the ability to defend Donbas. At the same time, Russia's ability to carry out a large-scale occupation remains limited - its resources are not unlimited, although the Kremlin is increasing its weapons production. According to political scientist Samuel Charap, the current escalation is a typical example of "fight and talk":" Russia is trying to take the maximum on the battlefield before the guns fall silent."As reported, Russia is preparing a large-scale escalation on the front in the summer of 2025. The main strikes are expected in the area of Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has revealed the goals of Russia's summer offensive . He noted that the Russians are amassing forces in the Sumy direction and are not changing their goals regarding offensive actions in the east and south of Ukraine.
Watch the report on the YT link.
The report also stated that Russia has used the winter lull to stockpile equipment, update tactics and ramp up drone production, analysts say. Just last week, the Russians attacked Ukrainian cities with hundreds of drones and missiles, the largest combined strike since the full-scale invasion began. Some of the munitions penetrated Ukrainian air defenses, damaging industrial and civilian targets. Although the Kremlin has not directly announced the start of a new phase of the offensive, Vladimir Putin has spoken of creating a "buffer zone" to protect Russia from Ukrainian shelling. He has also hinted again that the war will continue until "the root causes of the conflict are eliminated" - that is, until Ukraine capitulates on Moscow's terms. Against this backdrop, the resumption of peace talks, particularly in Istanbul, looks contradictory. RAND analysts and a number of European experts say that the Kremlin is using the offensive not only as a tool of pressure, but also to gain an advantage until a potential pause in hostilities. At the same time, Kyiv and the EU are convinced that Putin is not interested in a diplomatic settlement, but is striving for victory in the war.
The report added that the invasion of Sumy region, according to analysts, has already attracted thousands of Ukrainian troops, limiting the ability to defend Donbas. At the same time, Russia's ability to carry out a large-scale occupation remains limited - its resources are not unlimited, although the Kremlin is increasing its weapons production. According to political scientist Samuel Charap, the current escalation is a typical example of "fight and talk":" Russia is trying to take the maximum on the battlefield before the guns fall silent."As reported, Russia is preparing a large-scale escalation on the front in the summer of 2025. The main strikes are expected in the area of Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has revealed the goals of Russia's summer offensive . He noted that the Russians are amassing forces in the Sumy direction and are not changing their goals regarding offensive actions in the east and south of Ukraine.
Watch the report on the YT link.