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According to the report, Russian leader Vladimir Putin persists with a war that he is not winning and cannot win in Ukraine. Limited territorial acquisitions do not mean that Putin is winning. Victory depends on achieving his political objectives, and here he is not even close. Ukraine is now one of the most militarised states in Europe with a thriving defence industry. It has developed a network of partnerships that do not quite add up to a full alliance but can still play an important role in its future security.
The report stated that ill-prepared and predominantly conscript Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded in vast numbers, perhaps over one million. Putin hoped that his Special Military Operation would not be perceived as a real war by average Russians. But if the casualty estimates are anywhere near accurate, the longer the fight lasts, and as the Kremlin’s losses continue to mount further, the greater the danger to his rule, and he knows it. In this case Russian political leadership is claiming confidently that Russia will continue the war until it achieves all the goals it has set out at the start of the war. However, the latest poll results shocked them, because as it turns out, the Russian population has had enough of the so-called special military operation and wants the war to end now.
The report added that the recent survey, prepared for regional Russian administrations ahead of the 2026 elections, shows 83% of Russians feel fatigued from the war, and 56% want it to end right away, a sharp rise from the previous year. Support for continuing hostilities has fallen to around 23 percent, even as the Kremlin insists publicly that national unity remains strong. The gap between state messaging and private sentiment has never been wider, as Putin still expects his forces to capture all of the Donetsk region and has set deadlines by February 2026, while his foreign-policy aides continue repeating maximalist demands, Euromaidan Press says. The new data is a shock, not because Russians suddenly oppose the war, but because the scale of fatigue is impossible to hide even from those in power.
The report stated that ill-prepared and predominantly conscript Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded in vast numbers, perhaps over one million. Putin hoped that his Special Military Operation would not be perceived as a real war by average Russians. But if the casualty estimates are anywhere near accurate, the longer the fight lasts, and as the Kremlin’s losses continue to mount further, the greater the danger to his rule, and he knows it. In this case Russian political leadership is claiming confidently that Russia will continue the war until it achieves all the goals it has set out at the start of the war. However, the latest poll results shocked them, because as it turns out, the Russian population has had enough of the so-called special military operation and wants the war to end now.
The report added that the recent survey, prepared for regional Russian administrations ahead of the 2026 elections, shows 83% of Russians feel fatigued from the war, and 56% want it to end right away, a sharp rise from the previous year. Support for continuing hostilities has fallen to around 23 percent, even as the Kremlin insists publicly that national unity remains strong. The gap between state messaging and private sentiment has never been wider, as Putin still expects his forces to capture all of the Donetsk region and has set deadlines by February 2026, while his foreign-policy aides continue repeating maximalist demands, Euromaidan Press says. The new data is a shock, not because Russians suddenly oppose the war, but because the scale of fatigue is impossible to hide even from those in power.