The most important consideration in trading

[Tobi]

The most important consideration in trading is the direction of the overall trend. This is especially true in Foreign Exchange as trends tend to stay in place longer than in any other market. The reason is that FX reflects actual money moving from one economy to another. Whether the flow of money from one economy to the other is caused by trade between the two economies or investments (capital flows), once those natural forces are in place, they can stay in place for extended periods of time. It is sort of like a fully loaded supertanker in the open ocean at full speed, even if you cut the power, it will continue to drift in that same direction for an extended period of time.