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- Sep 25, 2023
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According to the report, as China has increasingly stepped-up aggression, against the Philippines and Taiwan in recent years. Fears of a US-China war have further been stoked by Beijing turning more hostile in its territorial disputes with the Philippines and Japan in the South China Sea. And increasing cross-strait tension after Taiwan re-elected the Democratic Progressive Party in earlier this year.
The report said that the United States Navy has released documents outlining its goals for meeting the growing threat of Chinese military power in the coming years. The Navigation Plan for America’s Warfighting Navy, published last week, is designed to bring the Navy into a stronger position against the People's Liberation Army by 2027 via bolstered recruitment and strategic technological advancement.This Navigation Plan drives toward two strategic ends: readiness for possible war with the People’s Republic of China by 2027 and enhancing the Navy’s long-term advantage. The 2027 deadline for Navy modernization relates to Chinese President Xi Jinping's goal of preparing the PLA for an invasion of Taiwan by 2030.In the event of War in Taiwan it is a battle between the United States and China. Why did the Philippines become a strategic location to make Taiwan very difficult to conquer?
The report also stated that the US, which has armed Taiwan with everything from air defense systems to anti-ship missiles to fighter jets, is not required to intervene if China invades Taiwan. But President Joe Biden has broken away from strategic ambiguity and said that the US would come to the island's defense if China invaded. It means that if a fight breaks out over Taiwan, it is a battle between the world’s two most powerful militaries.Though China's actions have stirred fears of a possible Chinese attack, the US military assesses that an invasion of Taiwan would prove extremely difficult for the Chinese military. It would likely invite intervention from other US military allies from Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Australia. Which strains the Chinese People's Liberation Army, and creates political and military risks for Chinese leader Xi Jinping and the ruling Chinese Communist Party.
The report added that the Center for Strategic and International Studies recently ran war games looking at how a large-scale Chinese invasion of Taiwan might play out, and the outcomes were bleak for China, but also for everyone else involved.Taiwan would probably remain unconquered but heavily damaged. The US and its allied forces, assuming they came to the island's aid, would likely be able to take out China's amphibious fleet, but at tremendous cost.The island would struggle to maintain basic services and electricity, and its military would be significantly depleted. China, on the other hand, would be left with tens of thousands of soldiers killed, wounded, or captured, a navy in total ruins, and a shattered amphibious force.Looking at this situation from an economic perspective, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could mean trillions of dollars in losses and a serious global recession.As tensions between China and the United States grow, from a regional perspective, most Southeast Asian countries will anxiously seek to remain neutral, however, this may be difficult. Yet the Philippines faces more challenging choices than most. The outcome of its choices will also matter more to the United States and China.
Further, at the most basic level, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have serious and specific implications for the Philippines by dint of geography. The Philippines’ northernmost islands are 190 kilometers from Taiwan, just slightly further than Japan’s nearest island.Despite its strategic goal to remain neutral, the Philippines faces complex realities that make it difficult to continue being a mere observer. For one, its proximity to Taiwan renders the Philippines vulnerable to military attacks from China and Taiwan that may reach its shores. Moreover, the U.S.-Philippines security alliance would compel the Philippines to allow the United States access to its airspace and military bases in the event of a cross-strait conflict, making the country a potential launching site for U.S. military action
Well to be precise, you can’t really say “Bashi Channel and Luzon Strait” as if they’re 2 separate things because the Bashi Channel is just one the three Channels within the Luzon Strait. The two others are the Babuyan Channel and Balintang Channel. And the only reason why the Bashi Channel is strategically important is because apart from the fact that it’s the closest to Taiwan, it’s also the only one of the three Channels that is international waters. The other two are considered as internal territorial waters of the Philippines which means, should a war break out, the Philippines had the right to forbid access from it. The implication of that is that the countries that are friends with the Philippines may be granted access to the two channels. That gives them more flexibility in terms of launching a pincer attack against any boat passing through the Bashi Channel. God Bless the Philippines.
Watch the report via the YT link.
The report said that the United States Navy has released documents outlining its goals for meeting the growing threat of Chinese military power in the coming years. The Navigation Plan for America’s Warfighting Navy, published last week, is designed to bring the Navy into a stronger position against the People's Liberation Army by 2027 via bolstered recruitment and strategic technological advancement.This Navigation Plan drives toward two strategic ends: readiness for possible war with the People’s Republic of China by 2027 and enhancing the Navy’s long-term advantage. The 2027 deadline for Navy modernization relates to Chinese President Xi Jinping's goal of preparing the PLA for an invasion of Taiwan by 2030.In the event of War in Taiwan it is a battle between the United States and China. Why did the Philippines become a strategic location to make Taiwan very difficult to conquer?
The report also stated that the US, which has armed Taiwan with everything from air defense systems to anti-ship missiles to fighter jets, is not required to intervene if China invades Taiwan. But President Joe Biden has broken away from strategic ambiguity and said that the US would come to the island's defense if China invaded. It means that if a fight breaks out over Taiwan, it is a battle between the world’s two most powerful militaries.Though China's actions have stirred fears of a possible Chinese attack, the US military assesses that an invasion of Taiwan would prove extremely difficult for the Chinese military. It would likely invite intervention from other US military allies from Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Australia. Which strains the Chinese People's Liberation Army, and creates political and military risks for Chinese leader Xi Jinping and the ruling Chinese Communist Party.
The report added that the Center for Strategic and International Studies recently ran war games looking at how a large-scale Chinese invasion of Taiwan might play out, and the outcomes were bleak for China, but also for everyone else involved.Taiwan would probably remain unconquered but heavily damaged. The US and its allied forces, assuming they came to the island's aid, would likely be able to take out China's amphibious fleet, but at tremendous cost.The island would struggle to maintain basic services and electricity, and its military would be significantly depleted. China, on the other hand, would be left with tens of thousands of soldiers killed, wounded, or captured, a navy in total ruins, and a shattered amphibious force.Looking at this situation from an economic perspective, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could mean trillions of dollars in losses and a serious global recession.As tensions between China and the United States grow, from a regional perspective, most Southeast Asian countries will anxiously seek to remain neutral, however, this may be difficult. Yet the Philippines faces more challenging choices than most. The outcome of its choices will also matter more to the United States and China.
Further, at the most basic level, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have serious and specific implications for the Philippines by dint of geography. The Philippines’ northernmost islands are 190 kilometers from Taiwan, just slightly further than Japan’s nearest island.Despite its strategic goal to remain neutral, the Philippines faces complex realities that make it difficult to continue being a mere observer. For one, its proximity to Taiwan renders the Philippines vulnerable to military attacks from China and Taiwan that may reach its shores. Moreover, the U.S.-Philippines security alliance would compel the Philippines to allow the United States access to its airspace and military bases in the event of a cross-strait conflict, making the country a potential launching site for U.S. military action
Well to be precise, you can’t really say “Bashi Channel and Luzon Strait” as if they’re 2 separate things because the Bashi Channel is just one the three Channels within the Luzon Strait. The two others are the Babuyan Channel and Balintang Channel. And the only reason why the Bashi Channel is strategically important is because apart from the fact that it’s the closest to Taiwan, it’s also the only one of the three Channels that is international waters. The other two are considered as internal territorial waters of the Philippines which means, should a war break out, the Philippines had the right to forbid access from it. The implication of that is that the countries that are friends with the Philippines may be granted access to the two channels. That gives them more flexibility in terms of launching a pincer attack against any boat passing through the Bashi Channel. God Bless the Philippines.
Watch the report via the YT link.