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According to the re[ort, the Iranian system of government is showing signs of a profound internal crisis, which is increasingly difficult to conceal behind official rhetoric. Recent events point to a growing conflict between the country's political leadership and the religious power center, calling into question the regime's medium-term sustainability. One telling episode was Turkey's diplomatic initiative to separate the negotiating process from the United States. According to this plan, the nuclear program would be discussed directly with Washington, while other regional issues would be discussed in a separate format involving regional countries.
The report stated that the Iranian president and foreign minister expressed willingness to consider this arrangement, but the Supreme Leader intervened forcefully and effectively blocked the initiative. He rejected any negotiations with regional players and made it clear he had no intention of compromising, especially with Turkey, which Tehran still views as a competitor. This episode further confirmed the systemic conflict within the government. The civilian government is increasingly focusing on pragmatically reducing external pressure, while the religious leadership and security forces continue to operate from ideological perspectives that perceive concessions as weakness and a threat to the very existence of the regime.
The report said that the defections of Iranian diplomats served as an additional signal. In a short period of time, several high-ranking foreign policy officials resigned their posts and requested political asylum in Switzerland. These cases indicate a loss of confidence within the elite and growing fears of a possible systemic collapse. According to various sources, a trend toward preparing an exit plan is spreading among the Iranian leadership. This involves pre-arranged passports, backup accommodations abroad, and a readiness to leave the country in the event of a sharp escalation. All of this stands in stark contrast to the bellicose statements of official media, which project an image of complete unity and control. Against the backdrop of the threat of military pressure and escalating sanctions, a rift is emerging in Iran between those seeking to preserve the regime at any cost and those increasingly concerned with their own survival.
Additionally, tensions between various centers of influence are growing, while leaks, defections, and internal sabotage indicate that the regime has entered a crisis-prepared phase. İn this case, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order allowing for the imposition of 25% tariffs on goods from countries that continue to trade with Iran. Western media reported this amid ongoing contacts between Washington and Tehran. It followed up on Trump's January statements and was finalized shortly after talks between US and Iranian officials in Oman. Trump did not directly discuss the executive order, but reiterated his key position on Tehran, stating that only zero nuclear weapons.
The report stated that the Iranian president and foreign minister expressed willingness to consider this arrangement, but the Supreme Leader intervened forcefully and effectively blocked the initiative. He rejected any negotiations with regional players and made it clear he had no intention of compromising, especially with Turkey, which Tehran still views as a competitor. This episode further confirmed the systemic conflict within the government. The civilian government is increasingly focusing on pragmatically reducing external pressure, while the religious leadership and security forces continue to operate from ideological perspectives that perceive concessions as weakness and a threat to the very existence of the regime.
The report said that the defections of Iranian diplomats served as an additional signal. In a short period of time, several high-ranking foreign policy officials resigned their posts and requested political asylum in Switzerland. These cases indicate a loss of confidence within the elite and growing fears of a possible systemic collapse. According to various sources, a trend toward preparing an exit plan is spreading among the Iranian leadership. This involves pre-arranged passports, backup accommodations abroad, and a readiness to leave the country in the event of a sharp escalation. All of this stands in stark contrast to the bellicose statements of official media, which project an image of complete unity and control. Against the backdrop of the threat of military pressure and escalating sanctions, a rift is emerging in Iran between those seeking to preserve the regime at any cost and those increasingly concerned with their own survival.
Additionally, tensions between various centers of influence are growing, while leaks, defections, and internal sabotage indicate that the regime has entered a crisis-prepared phase. İn this case, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order allowing for the imposition of 25% tariffs on goods from countries that continue to trade with Iran. Western media reported this amid ongoing contacts between Washington and Tehran. It followed up on Trump's January statements and was finalized shortly after talks between US and Iranian officials in Oman. Trump did not directly discuss the executive order, but reiterated his key position on Tehran, stating that only zero nuclear weapons.