it’s possible for markets to move at times

[Tobi]

Once you’ve spotted some key contextual information like in the example above, you’re well ahead of many other traders. But in most cases it’s not enough information in isolation to decide on how you want to trade.

Simply saying “well I think I’m going to only be looking to go short now” is in fact a dangerous game to play in itself.

Clearly it’s possible for markets to move at times, virtually in one direction with few pullbacks. But in reality this is rarely what happens.

Markets tend to move far more like buses than planes.

Buses stop in a range of locations checking for passengers and are rarely the quickest in getting to where they are going.
Planes tend to fly in a relatively direct path.

The point is that even if you’re confident of the overall market direction, you can’t be totally sure of how it will get there.

 

[gwolf666]

That’s a powerful analogy — markets really do behave more like buses than planes. Even when the general direction seems clear, the path there is full of stops, pauses, and reversals. Many traders make the mistake of forming a bias (“I’ll only look for shorts now”) and then ignoring everything that contradicts it. The problem is that markets are dynamic; they breathe, correct, and react to new information constantly. A professional trader understands that conviction without flexibility is dangerous. The key is to balance bias with adaptability — have a directional view, but let price action confirm your entries and manage your trades dynamically. Think of it this way: you can board the bus because you know the route, but you must still pay attention to every stop, because it might change course at any time.